Welcome to Czar's Blog #10 of 2018 - Spoiler Time

The Math doesn’t work

It’s that time of year when we look at the division races and realize that the Giants will come up short. There are not enough games left for any other result to be realistic. When that is coupled with the injuries (Buster, Cueto, Duggar, Samarjdiza, Panda and, today, Ryder Jones, all out for the season), the trades (Cutch for a minor leaguer) and the lack of ability to hit the ball, we are watching a slow-motion train wreck.

The G-Men are not yet mathematically eliminated, but that day is rapidly approaching. Being 8 games under .500 (68 and 76), 11 and half games back in the NL West and with a current 8 game losing streak (back to back sweeps by Colorado and the Brew Crew) the pain is apparent and the goal of September is to figure out next April.

Spoiler alert!

The magic of September is the ability to spoil the race for the other teams. The first chance will come this week (Including tomorrow) when the Giants play the Atlanta Braves. The Braves record is 78 and 64, and they are leading the NL East.  The Braves should be in the postseason but they seem to be fading down the stretch (4 wins and 6 losses in the last 10 games), and the Phillies are coming on strong. The Giants always play Atlanta (who will be in town for three games – Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday) tough and this is a chance for redemption in front of the home fans.  Our guys are pros and their pride must be hurt.

Then the Rockies come in for another three-game series (right now the Rockies are a game and a half in front of the Dodgers). So, bottom line, the Giants have a chance to shake up the division race by loosening up and taking a series from the Rockies.  The G-Men always play the Rockies tough at AT&T. 

The end of the season series will be the Dodgers.  That will be revenge time.

About the young guys?

It was a real joy to watch the homeruns by Gomez and Chris Shaw in their first major league games. I was at AT&T for the Gomez dinger (his Dad and family were about ten rows in back of me, and very loud – which was cool) and watched the Shaw bomb in Colorado on TV.

Right now the Twitter verse is focused on what’s going to happen to Brandon Belt.  I say sell in the off season. Belt is a streaky hitter but is an outstanding defender who could probably do well in a smaller park. When Buster returns in the spring it will be time for him to move to First Base, his future. There is no other spot for Belt so let’s see what the market for him looks like.

That scenario also gives the Giants the ability to advance the number one draft choice this year (Joey Bart, #2 in the draft) up to the majors (or at least to Spring Training) as a catcher; he is on the same progression that Buster was on ten years ago. I also like Aramis Gomez in a tandem with Nick Hundley (who should be brought back).

It’s not too early to talk about what next year’s team look like. Two exciting rookies are Duggar and Gomez. The jury is still out on Slater and Shaw; a good September for either of them will make a difference. Nothing will happen to Longoria because of his contract. Crawford is a lock.

Alan Hanson has been excellent and may replace Panik, who has not looked the same for the last six weeks. Maybe it’s an injury but he can’t seem to get down on balls that he used to get to easily, and his batting average has been plummeting.

Watching these guys during the next three weeks will give a clue what the 2019 Giants will look like.  The bright side is that the pitching has been outstanding. Dereck Rodriguez is a gem (and starts tomorrow night against Atlanta); he is perhaps the next Madison Bumgarner. Suarez has pitched out of his mind.  Looking at a starting rotation of Bum, Cueto, Rodriquez and Suarez, and a healthy bullpen, bodes well for the future.

Last Question – Bryce Harper in 2019?

We need a big bat.  Period.  Harper will be the best on the market. It’s time to blow off the luxury tax cap. Enough said.

That’s it!

Ciao, and GO GIANTS!

The Czar

  1. CBD: An Exciting New Fall Schedule… or Not?
  2. MISSISSIPPI RISING - A VICTORY FOR LEGAL RETAILER TO CONSUMER SALES, AND PASSAGE OF TITLE UNDER THE UNIFORM COMMERCIAL CODE
  3. California ABC's Cannabis Advisory - Not Just for Stoners
  4. NEW CALIFORNIA WARNINGS FOR ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND CANNABIS PRODUCTS TAKE EFFECT AUGUST 30, 2018, NOW INCLUDING ADDENDUM REGARDING 2014 CONSENT AGREEMENT PARTIES AND PARTICIPANTS
  5. National Conference of State Liquor Administrators – The Alcohol Industry gathers in Hawaii to figure out how to enforce the US “Highly Archaic Regulatory Scheme.”
  6. Founder John Hinman Honored with the Raphael House Community Impact Award
  7. ROUTE TO MARKET AND MARKETING RESTRICTIONS - NAVIGATING REGULATORY SYSTEM CONSTRAINTS
  8. Alcohol and Cannabis Ventures: Top 5 Legal Considerations
  9. ATF and TTB: Is Another Divorce on the Horizon? What’s Going on with the Agency?
  10. STRIKE 3 - YOU REALLY ARE OUT! THE ABC'S STRICT APPLICATION OF PENALTIES FOR SALES TO MINORS
  11. TTB Temporarily Fixes Problem with Fulfillment Warehouse Tax Credits - an “Alternate Procedure” for Paying Taxes & Reporting
  12. CUSTOMERS WHO HAVE HAD ONE TOO MANY - THE FREE TRANSPORTATION DILEMMA
  13. The Renaissance of Federal Unfair Trade Practices - Current Issues and Strategies
  14. ‘Twas the week before New Year’s and the ABC is out in Force – Alerts for the Last Week of 2017, including the Limits on Free Rides
  15. Big Bottles, Caviar and a CA Wine Strong Silent Auction for the Holidays!
  16. The FDA and the Wine and Spirits Industry – Surprise inspections anyone?
  17. NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES: UPDATED REGULATORY AGENCY DISASTER RELIEF RESOURCES AT A GLANCE
  18. NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES: REGULATORY AGENCY DISASTER RELIEF RESOURCES AT A GLANCE
  19. Soon to come to your Local Supermarket– Instant Redeemable Coupons of the digital age!
  20. The License Piggyback Dilemma – If it Sounds Too Good to be True, it Probably is
  21. A timely message from our Florida colleagues on the tied house laws, the three-tier system and the need for reform
  22. ABC Declaratory Rulings – A Modest Proposal Whose Time has Come
  23. More on FDA Inspections - Breweries, Distilleries and Questions
  24. WHY THE FDA IS INSPECTING WINERIES
  25. Senate Bill 378—The Proposed Demise of Due Process for Alcohol Licensees
  26. ABC Enforcement - Trends and Predictions
  27. The Corruption Chronicles – Volume One: A New Hope
  28. New Alcohol Delivery Oversight on the Horizon
  29. Michigan: Canary in the DtC Coal Mine?
  30. California ABC and Federal Credit Laws – Active Enforcement and Lots of Questions!
  31. Big Bottles For The Holidays - The Highest Calling Of The Winemaker's Art
  32. FINAL COMMENTS TO TTB NOTICE 160 DUE ON WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 7TH – WE ARE ASKING THE TTB TO EXTEND THE COMMENT PERIOD AGAIN TO ALLOW FOR INDUSTRY NEGOTIATION AND ALIGNMENT OF INTERESTS
  33. SONOMA COUNTY WINERY USE PERMITS, EVENT RESTICTIONS AND DTC
  34. New TTB Labeling Requirement Regulations: Out-of-State Bottling Is Not Created Equal and Consumers Right to Know Where the Grapes in their Wine Come from is Compromised
  35. Isn't A Written Agreement With A Distributor Worthless In A Franchise State?
  36. Crowd Funding for Alcohol Producers and Retailers – Down the Rabbit Hole with the Tied House laws
  37. Everything you ever wanted to know about the BPA Warning Statement but were afraid to ask
  38. AB 2082 - A Hunting License for Police and a Lethal Weapon for Politicians that Deprives Licensees of Currently Available Due Process Rights
  39. “Better Late Than Never”-- Judge in Illinois Dismisses 201 Sales Tax Cases against Retailers
  40. The Day the Music Almost Died: The Story of the BottleRock ABC Accusations, the ABC Appeals Board and a Victory for a Common Sense Interpretation of the Tied House Laws
  41. The Arsenic in Wine Class Action Dismissal – what it means
  42. Counterfeit or Artisanal Mexican Spirits? Pick your Poison, or your lime wedge
  43. Warning - CA ABC enforcement teams are on the prowl this weekend!
  44. RELIEF AT LAST! ILLINOIS MOVES TO FIX THE SALES TAX LAWSUITS AGAINST OUT-OF-STATE SELLERS BUT PROPOSES TO PENALIZE WINERIES AND RETAILERS THAT SHIP WITHOUT PERMITS
  45. The TTB Speaks on Category Management or, be Careful What you Ask for Because you might Get it!
  46. Hinman & Carmichael LLP Announces the Addition of Jeremy Siegel to its team of top beverage law lawyers
  47. 2016 LEGISLATIVE UPDATES: Part IV
  48. 2016 LEGISLATIVE UPDATES: Part III
  49. 2016 LEGISLATIVE UPDATES: Part II
  50. 2016 LEGISLATIVE UPDATES: Part I
  51. Hinman & Carmichael LLP is Hiring!
  52. John Hinman Presents NBI Webinar on Basics of Alcohol Beverage Law
  53. ABC DISMISSES SAVE MART GRAPE ESCAPE ACCUSATION BUT REFUSES TO ADOPT JUDGE’S DECISION FINDING NO STRICT LIABILITY FOR ABC VIOLATIONS
  54. Speakeasies are still with us, and proliferating!
  55. The War for the Soul of Sonoma County – the Winery Working Group Battle
  56. Santa Claus isn’t the only one coming to town this Christmas!
  57. Arizona's Direct to Consumer Shipping Rules - An Exercise in Complexity
  58. AB 780 - Social Media and the ABC: The California Legislative “Fix” that Fails
  59. Illinois Finally Offers Certainty and Relief for Victims of Sales Tax Lawsuits, but Prompt Action is Required in Pending Cases
  60. A Modest Proposal – Adopt the federal rule on Tied-House liability in California
  61. The Grapes Escaped - Why the First Amendment Matters
  62. Appellate Court Ruling Strikes Blow Against State’s Arbitrary Beer Label Ban
  63. Illinois Attorney General's Office Announces Intention to Dismiss False Claims Act Against Liquor Retailers
  64. Commercial Speech And Alcoholic Beverages - Part III
  65. Commercial Speech And Alcoholic Beverages - Part II
  66. Craft Beverages: Social Media Marketing the Effective and Compliant Way
  67. Commercial Speech And Alcoholic Beverages - Part I
  68. A LAYPERSON LOOKS AT ARSENIC IN WINE
  69. The Biggest Retailer in the World vs. the TABC
  70. Rebecca Stamey-White presents Emerging Issues in Wine Law
  71. Top Beverage Alcohol Law Firm Adds and Elevates Partners
  72. Illinois Qui Tam Lawsuits—Private Enforcement Of a State Claim: A Bonanza For A Plaintiff’s Lawyer And A Rip-Off Of Retailers
  73. BOOZE RULES OF SOCIAL MEDIA: The Retailer Right to Pay Exception
  74. LIONS AND TIGERS AND TWEETS, OH MY!
  75. AB 2004: Brewer's Incremental Parity with Wine Makers
  76. Expanding, Proud Of It, and Wanting to Tell the World
  77. DC Weighs in Strongly on Third Party Marketer Delivery Services
  78. “Visual Links” between Beer, Wine and Spirits Labels and Retailers Ruled Unlawful in California — the tied house laws run amok
  79. Hard Cider Legislative Update
  80. New Marketing Model for New York – Lot 18 and the NYSLA
  81. Sweeping Changes in Proposed NYSLA Bill Include Expansion for Craft
  82. Minimum Resale Price Policies - How to Control Price-Cutters
  83. AB 2130 – Gloves Off?
  84. “Gluten-Free” Labels for Wine, Beer and Distilled Spirits. We’re Still Waiting.
  85. AB 1252: Sanitation Overkill?
  86. Growlers: Not Just for Beer Anymore
  87. California Legislative Roundup 2014
  88. Build It and They Will Come: Craft Products Get New Privileges in CA and TX
  89. AB 1128: Veto of the “Serve a Minor” Felony Penalty Bill, or How to Lose a Winery in One Sale
  90. California Grocers Association v. ABC, Part 2: California Appeals Court Vacates ABC’s Adoption of a Trade Advisory That Correctly Guided Licensee Conduct
  91. California Grocers Association v. ABC, Part 1: California Appeals Court Prohibits Alcohol Sales at Self-Check Out Stands
  92. AB 1128: The “Serve a Minor” Felony Penalty Bill, or How to Lose a Winery in One Sale
  93. The New York SLA and Online Wine Sales: A Work in Progress
  94. California SB 635: What the 4am Bill Really Means for California Communities
  95. Electronic Invoices in California: Welcome to the 19th Century
  96. The History of Amazon and Wine: What Has Changed?
  97. Third Party Marketing Checklist
  98. BOOZE RULES – PROMOTIONAL APPEARANCES AND AUTOGRAPHS
  99. Washington State: Down the Rabbit Hole of the Tied-House Laws